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US National Team
Jeff Maurer's Soccer Blog
Friday, 11 June 2010
Predictions
Topic: US National Team

Kickoff is 30 minutes away. Prediction time. These predictions are influenced by the following factors:

1. The home team always plays way better than they should.

2. The home team, in this instance, is not all that good.

3. When the Cup is in Europe, a European team always wins (except for Brazil in Sweden '58). When the Cup is anywhere else, a non-European (i.e. South American) team always wins. Weird.

4. Home field advantage is primarily psychological, not geographic, and having the World Cup in Africa for the first time is a huge deal. Therefore, I am factoring in a "home continent advantage" for African teams in spite of the significant geographic distance.

5. Team adversity is overrated (see: Italy 2006). "Us vs. the coach" can be a motivating factor, too. Translation: don't count out France.

6. Diego Maradona is as bad of a coach as he was a great player.

7. I don't tend to pick a lot of upsets (I have a background in statistics - it's all probability and expected value for me. Also, I don't like fun).

 

Group A:

1st: Mexico

2nd: France

 

Group B:

1st: Argentina

2nd: Nigeria

 

Group C:

1st: England

2nd: USA

 

Group D:

1st: Germany

2nd: Serbia

 

Group E:

1st: Netherlands

2nd: Cameroon

 

Group F:

1st: Italy

2nd: Paraguay

 

Group G:

1st: Brazil

2nd: Portugal

 

Group H:

1st: Spain

2nd: Paraguay

 

Round of 16:

Nigeria beats Mexico

England beats Serbia

France beats Argentina

US beats Germany (okay: home town call here. But we owe them one from 2002)

Netherlands beats Paraguay

Brazil beats Chile

Cameroon beats Italy

Spain beats Portugal

 

Round of 8:

England beats Nigeria

France beats USA

Brazil beats Netherlands

Spain beats Cameroon

 

Semifinal:

Brazil beats England

Spain beats France

 

Champion: Brazil

Golden boot: David Villa

Golden ball: Xavi

Yashin award: Julio Caesar

Best young player: Jozy

Most entertaining team: Netherlands

Dark horse: France. (Do they count as a dark horse? No? Okay: Serbia)

 

 

 


Posted by jeffmaurer1980 at 10:06 AM EDT
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